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02-Dec-2019 09:54

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This might seem to be a strange marriage of mathematical certainty and uncertainty of randomness.

On a second thought, though, most people will agree that a newly conceived baby has a 50-50 chance (exact but, likely, inaccurate estimate) to be, for example, a girl or a boy, for that matter.

Frequencies of selections appear in the corresponding input boxes. Actually, the process of selection includes no selection at all.

As a mathematician Robert Coveyou from the Oak Ridge National Laboratory has said, The generation of random numbers is too important to be left to chance.

A knowledgeable reader would, probably, note that this is a program (albeit deterministic) and not the computer that does the random number simulation. It's me and not your computer to blame if the simulation below does not exactly produce random numbers.

When you press the "Start" button below, the program will start random selection.

Every second it will pick up one of the three numbers - 1, 2, or 3.

So we have to ask: Could this misreading of the polls — and polling-based forecasts — actually have affected the election’s outcome?It depends on whether you’re talking about how the media and other political elites read the polls — and how that influenced their behavior — or how the general public did.Regular voters, it turns out, were not especially confident about Clinton’s chances last year. We (Oath) and our partners need your consent to access your device, set cookies, and use your data, including your location, to understand your interests, provide relevant ads and measure their effectiveness.

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For instance, both Comey’s decision to release his letter on Oct.



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